PICK OF THE DAY
Heracles - Az Aalkmar
Tip : 2&3+ (Away win and over 2.5 goals)
Odd : 2.00
FT : 0:3 WIN!!!
Despite losing last weekend, AZ Alkmaar still have a tight hold on third spot with their lead over fourth placed Feyenoord now down to eight points. AZ make the trip to Almelo on Friday night to face a Heracles side who have lost their last two games in the league and sit in the bottom half of the table. The bookmakers are expecting an away win when the pair lock horns and with AZ in such good goal scoring form, so are we.
These two sides met for their reverse league fixture back in December, where a rampant AZ Alkmaar dominated in their own backyard. The game featured five goals, all of which arrived in the second half, as a late collapse from Heracles lead to a humiliating final scoreline. An own goal from the unlucky Castro set the hosts on their way to victory in the fifty-fifth minute, but AZ didn’t make it 2-0 until twenty minutes later when Til capitalised on a mistake in the Heracles defence. Jahanbakhsh added a third in the eighty-first minute and strike partner Weghorst made it 4-0 just four minutes later. Svensson wrapped up an impressive second half display with the fifth goal in stoppage time, and AZ thoroughly deserved their victory after reducing Heracles to just two shots on target in the entire ninety minutes.
Heading into Friday’s latest encounter between Heracles and AZ it’s the visitors who claim the title of form favourites with four wins and two defeats from their last six matches. Heracles have also lost two during that six game period, picking up one draw and three wins, but they haven’t managed to pick up three points in any of their last three matches. AZ have a great overall record against Heracles and have won the last eight encounters between the two clubs, with over 2.5 goals being scored on each occasion. If that wasn’t worrying enough for Friday’s hosts, AZ’s last six matches have all produced over 2.5 goals and four of those games have ended in victory. Alkmaar are a possession based side (56.8%), and only Ajax (59.4%))has seen more of the ball than AZ so far this season, so expect the visitors to control the game on Friday. AZ also boast the second best pass accuracy (82.5%) and one of the highest shots per game averages in the division (17.8).
No player has yet reached double figures in league goals for Heracles this season, with Niemeijer leading the way on eight goals and teammates Peterson, and Vermeij both chipping in with six goals each. With fifteen goals, Weghorst now top scores for AZ in the Eredivisie this season, but Jahanbakhsh is just one behind his strike partner and the battle to finish top goalscorer is certainly heating up in Alkmaar.
We’re confident that AZ Alkmaar will win on Friday and that over 2.5 goals will be scored in the process. The visitors have a great record of wins against Heracles, and scoring over 2.5 goals against this particular opponent. As for a final score, we’re backing AZ to run out 3-1 winners against their mid table opponents.
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